If you're going to advocate for one particular candidate over all the others, than the least you can do is put your credibility on the line and make a few predictions and let people judge whether your outlook is based more on wishful thinking or actual insight.
So here it goes:
Iowa: Hillary 36%, Edwards 31%, Obama 29% followed by Biden and Richardson in that order
New Hampshire: Hillary 45%, Obama 22%, Edwards 18%
South Carolina: Hillary 36%, Obama 34%, Edwards 22%
Out after SC: Edwards, out after Feb 5: Obama
Hillary wins the nomination
As for the Republicans:
Iowa: Huckabee 37%, Romney 31%, McCain 22%
New Hampshire: McCain 38%, Romney 27%, Huckabee 19%, Giuliani 15%
Out after NH: Romney
Out after Feb. 5: Giuliani and Huckabee
McCain wins the nomination
Saturday, December 29, 2007
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