Wednesday, January 9, 2008

Dorothy Sbornack effect

Marc Ambinder offers another interesting theory as to how the pollsters got it so wrong:
    for some reason, older women voters refused to disclose their preferences to pollsters, or refused to admit that they favored Hillary Clinton.

    Mickey Kaus postulates an application of the reverse Bradley effect -- that Iowa Democrats somehow felt social pressure to stand up in front of their peers and cast a vote for a viable black candidate.

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